Please educate me if I am incorrect, but line movements reflect the amount of $$$ coming in on a particular side, and adjust accordingly to try and level the betting field so the book can collect the vig. In a perfect book world, plays would be 50/50 with book making the gaurenteed vig. Granted large reverse line moves must be accounted for, how does this gaurentee anything???
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Yadda, yadda, yadda, you are the handicapper of the year.
Got news for you, I and dozens others were on the Cards as a home dog.
Congrats on our win, spend it wisely, but don't for the love of God tell me or others how great you are.
Me, and dozens of others have posted winners and don't even think about bumping up our threads, you attention whore you.
Having said that, peace.
:toast:
Got news for you, I and dozens others were on the Cards as a home dog.
Congrats on our win, spend it wisely, but don't for the love of God tell me or others how great you are.
Me, and dozens of others have posted winners and don't even think about bumping up our threads, you attention whore you.
Having said that, peace.
:toast:
Completly clueless?
I keep a database of reverse line movement.
You like profits, here are the stone cold facts.
You can thank me later.
At Least 60% of Bets on Side, Reverse Line Move of at least 1 point
League W L P Pct. Units
NFL 2008 18 13 1 58.1% 2.83
NFL 2007 155 130 9 54.4% 18.62
NCAAF 2008 137 106 8 56.4% 17.51
NCAAF 2007 227 156 4 59.3% 49.49
NBA 2007-8 221 182 6 54.8% 18.89
NCAAB 2007-8 272 203 11 57.3% 42.04
Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number to the close at the top books in MLB and NHL has also been profitable. Again, these records are for money lines only and do not include totals.
At Least 60% of Bets on Side, Reverse Money Line Move of at least 10 cents
League W L P Pct. Units
MLB 2008 518 600 0 46.3% 131.98
NHL 2008-9 1 0 0 100% 0.95
NHL 2007-8 224 229 0 49.4% 85.69
Now run along junior.
I keep a database of reverse line movement.
You like profits, here are the stone cold facts.
You can thank me later.
At Least 60% of Bets on Side, Reverse Line Move of at least 1 point
League W L P Pct. Units
NFL 2008 18 13 1 58.1% 2.83
NFL 2007 155 130 9 54.4% 18.62
NCAAF 2008 137 106 8 56.4% 17.51
NCAAF 2007 227 156 4 59.3% 49.49
NBA 2007-8 221 182 6 54.8% 18.89
NCAAB 2007-8 272 203 11 57.3% 42.04
Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number to the close at the top books in MLB and NHL has also been profitable. Again, these records are for money lines only and do not include totals.
At Least 60% of Bets on Side, Reverse Money Line Move of at least 10 cents
League W L P Pct. Units
MLB 2008 518 600 0 46.3% 131.98
NHL 2008-9 1 0 0 100% 0.95
NHL 2007-8 224 229 0 49.4% 85.69
Now run along junior.
